Robinson rushes for three TDs as Iowa wins opener
NCAA Football Betting Lines
09/04/2010 - Iowa City, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Adam Robinson ran for 109 yards and three touchdowns, leading ninth-ranked Iowa in a 37-7 rout of Eastern Illinois to open each school's 2010 season.
Robinson received 24 carries for the Hawkeyes (1-0), who won their opener for the 10th time in Kirk Ferentz's 12th season. The sophomore, who set the school's freshman rushing record last season, added 43 yards on three receptions.
Ricky Stanzi completed 18-of-23 passes for 229 yards and a touchdown in the easy victory, while Paki O'Meara blocked a punt and returned it for another score.
Iowa is looking to duplicate or exceed its excellent 2009 season, when it went 11-2 and earned a spot in the Orange Bowl. The Hawkeyes got off to an excellent start on Saturday, outgaining Eastern Illinois by a 435-157 margin.
Brandon Large passed for 92 yards and a touchdown on 13-of-20 throws for Eastern Illinois (0-1), which is coming off an 8-4 season in the FCS' Ohio Valley Conference. Von Wise was the recipient of the scoring pass, though no receiver had more than 37 yards and no rusher more than 36 in the loss.
Iowa scored early and often to turn the game into a rout.
On the game's opening drive, the Hawkeyes marched 65 yards in only six plays, highlighted by a 35-yard pass to Brad Herman that put Iowa on the Eastern Illinois two-yard line. Robinson ran into the end zone on the next play just 3:40 into the contest.
EIU was forced to punt from its own seven on its first possession, and Iowa got the ball back on its own 44. Robinson capped the ensuing eight-play drive with a four-yard score, and the Hawkeyes had a 14-0 advantage with five minutes left in the first quarter.
Iowa's defense got into the act on the ensuing drive. The Panthers set up for a punt from their own 38 on 4th-and-1, but O'Meara blocked it, recovered the ball inside the 10 and scampered into the end zone for a 21-point cushion.
Eastern Illinois finally cracked the scoreboard to start the second quarter with some trickery. Facing 4th-and-4 from its own 20, EIU called a fake punt, and Cody Bruns ran up the middle for a 36-yard gain. The next play went for a 37-yard pass completion from Large to Chris Wright, and Large hit Wise for an 11-yard score two plays later for a 21-7 contest.
Iowa, though, restored its three-touchdown lead right away, going 60 yards on eight plays in 3 1/2 minutes. The drive featured six rushing plays, the last four by Robinson, who ran right up the middle from six yards away for his third score of the day and a 28-7 halftime advantage.
In a low-scoring third quarter, the only points came on a safety when Large fumbled out of the end zone, giving Iowa a 30-7 lead heading to the fourth.
The Hawkeyes added a touchdown on Brett Morse's two-yard reception with 8 1/2 minutes left in the game, and Iowa cruised to the victory from there.
Game Notes
This was the first-ever meeting between the schools...Iowa is 89-31-2 in season openers all-time...Eastern Illinois recorded only six first downs, compared to 24 for Iowa...The Panthers came into the game ranked 18th in the FCS.
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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